Scenario Planning and Tourism Futures

Theory Building, Methodologies and Case Studies

By (author) Albert Postma, Stefan Hartman, Ian Yeoman

Publication date:

10 December 2024

Publisher

Channel View Publications

Dimensions:

234x156mm
6x9"

ISBN-13: 9781845418878

This book offers a practical guide for scenario planning to make sense of the future of tourism for practitioners, researchers and students. It provides an overview of the theoretical development of scenario planning, describes the scenario planning method and puts it into the context of strategic foresight. A variety of scenario planning and futures case studies are presented which demonstrate how scenario planning is used and deployed. Each case study is drawn from the European Tourism Futures Institute’s 12 years of practice, emphasising the different stages of the scenario planning method, and includes learning points and discussion questions to help readers understand key concepts, theories and applications.

Figures and Tables

Falco de Klerk Wolters: Foreword: 15 Years of the European Tourism Futures Institute (ETFI)

Jeremy Sampson: Foreword: Focus on the Future of Tourism

Chapter 1. Why the Future is Important in an Uncertain World: The Role of Scenario Planning to Create the Future of Tourism

Chapter 2. Is Scenario Planning a Theory Builder or a Research Methodology?

Chapter 3. Strengthening Resilience in Tourism through Scenario Planning

Chapter 4. Methodologies of Scenario Planning and Strategic Foresight

Chapter 5. The Application of Scenario Planning in Tourism

Chapter 6. The European Tourism Futures Institute Method

Chapter 7. A Scenario Framework for the Post COVID-19 Futures of Tourism

Chapter 8. The Tourism Futures of Rural Friesland: An Integrated Spatial Planning Approach to Tourism Planning

Chapter 9. Futures Lab Fryslân

Chapter 10. Scenarios for Inbound Tourism to the Netherlands – Case Study

Chapter 11. Notting Hill Carnival Futures 2020

Chapter 12. Visitor Pressure in European Cities

Chapter 13. The European Tourism Futures Institute on the Edge of Time

References

Index

This is an excellent and very timely book given the uncertainties facing tourism destinations over the next two decades. The volume’s futures-based perspective is key to understanding these challenges and planning for their potential impacts using a variety of tools, including scenario analysis. The importance of this book cannot be overstated at this time in our history.