Chinese Energy Futures and Their Implications for the United States
By (author) George G. Eberling
Not available to order
Publication date:
16 November 2011Length of book:
198 pagesPublisher
Lexington BooksISBN-13: 9780739165706
China's rise in the global arena is undeniably altering the global status quo. Its rise is closely linked to and reflected in its rising dependence on imported oil, adroit soft power, economic prowess and corresponding impressive economic growth, its military modernization, and its strategic engagement of the world as an alternative model of political and economic development. As the status quo changes, the United States theoretically becomes less influential politically, economically, and militarily, because China is skillfully harnessing and strategically exercising the elements of national power to acquire scarce oil energy resources in the Near East, Western Hemisphere, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
Chinese Energy Futures and Their Implications for the United States, by George Eberling, examines how Chinese oil energy specifically will shape future Sino-American relations under conditions of dependency and non-dependency, and whether competition or cooperation for scarce energy resources will result. Eberling uses both scenario analysis and the PRINCE method to examine three possible Chinese oil energy futures: Competitive Dependency, Competitive Surplus, and Cooperative Surplus. Chinese Energy Futures also discusses and evaluates the strategic implications of these scenarios with respect to the United States.
Chinese Energy Futures and Their Implications for the United States, by George Eberling, examines how Chinese oil energy specifically will shape future Sino-American relations under conditions of dependency and non-dependency, and whether competition or cooperation for scarce energy resources will result. Eberling uses both scenario analysis and the PRINCE method to examine three possible Chinese oil energy futures: Competitive Dependency, Competitive Surplus, and Cooperative Surplus. Chinese Energy Futures also discusses and evaluates the strategic implications of these scenarios with respect to the United States.
This book presents a comprehensive analysis that captures the broad sweep of China’s
global search for oil resources which many predict is leading to an emerging resource
war between the U.S. and China. The author uses a formal model, a forecasting methodology
that constructs scenarios for alternative futures, attempting to establish a quantitative
causality between these alternative futures and their strategic implications for the
United States. This methodology is an effort to go beyond the usual intuitive assessments
of China’s oil quest. The author offers policy recommendations on ways to mitigate the
US-China struggle over the world’s oil resources.—Gaye Christoffersen, Johns Hopkins
University
global search for oil resources which many predict is leading to an emerging resource
war between the U.S. and China. The author uses a formal model, a forecasting methodology
that constructs scenarios for alternative futures, attempting to establish a quantitative
causality between these alternative futures and their strategic implications for the
United States. This methodology is an effort to go beyond the usual intuitive assessments
of China’s oil quest. The author offers policy recommendations on ways to mitigate the
US-China struggle over the world’s oil resources.—Gaye Christoffersen, Johns Hopkins
University